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Case Study Guaranteeing ROAS through Dynamic, Data-Driven Cash Back

Overview

To further their growth, a leading Home & Garden brand sought a solution to enhance performance and drive sales while balancing a healthy return on ad spend (ROAS). Recognizing the potential of its Rakuten program, the brand partnered with Rakuten in July 2024 to implement Programmatic Loyalty — a new, industry-first ad solution that delivers performance-driven outcomes by leveraging AI technology and Rakuten’s extensive first-party data from millions of shoppers, guaranteeing a return on ad spend (ROAS).

To address their growth needs, the brand needed to achieve both ROAS and Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) targets. To do this, they focused on leveraging data to better anticipate changes in consumer behavior and more accurately adjust Cash Back rates and media placements to target the right audiences.

The Solution

Programmatic Loyalty guarantees that brands meet their ROAS target each month by dynamically adjusting Cash Back rates, media exposure, and promotional participation, all based on audience behavior and engagement.

Rather than elevating the brand’s Cash Back rate for all Rakuten members, Programmatic Loyalty uses Rakuten’s first-party data—such as member behavior and current sales trends—to dynamically adjust Cash Back rates for audience segments. These tailored rates are deployed to specific audience segments, ensuring each shopper is targeted with the most effective Cash Back rate. This approach allows Rakuten to manage the brand’s budget and meet their ROAS goal.

Building the Strategy

The brand kicked off its first Programmatic Loyalty campaign during the July 2024 pilot, with Rakuten deploying multiple Cash Back rates and dynamically adjusting media to meet their monthly campaign goal. Following a successful pilot, they participated in Programmatic Loyalty campaigns from July through December 2024.

To build the campaigns, Rakuten and the brand aligned on estimated GMV targets and guaranteed ROAS goals for each month. Rakuten developed customized forecasts to show different spending scenarios and their corresponding outcomes:

  • A smaller budget with a lower cost per activation drives a high ROAS but lower estimated sales volume.
  • A higher budget with a higher cost per activation drives a lower ROAS but higher estimated sales volume.

Each Programmatic Loyalty campaign forecast is informed by the brand’s historical data and Rakuten’s first-party insights:

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  • The brand opted for campaigns that achieved a higher GMV while maintaining the agreed-upon monthly ROAS.

    The initial July forecast projected that the new campaign would drive positive sales growth, reversing a declining year-over-year trend and outperforming the negative results expected under a business-as-usual approach.

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Driving the Campaigns

Based on the monthly forecast, the brand’s Programmatic Loyalty campaign utilized two key drivers to increase exposure, engagement, and conversions across Rakuten members:

  • Cash Back
    Throughout each month, Rakuten made programmatic adjustments to Cash Back rates, optimizing them based on member engagement and historical data. This allowed the brand to offer varying rates to different audience groups, ensuring the most effective offers were deployed.

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  • Media
    The campaigns featured dedicated media placements on Rakuten’s app and website, along with email placements to enhance exposure and awareness. These placements showcased custom Cash Back offers tailored to each audience segment.

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Executing the Campaigns

Throughout each monthly campaign, the Programmatic Loyalty tool dynamically optimized the budget to guarantee the brand’s ROAS goal by adjusting Cash Back rates. This optimization typically involved several strategic adjustments, such as:

  • When performance data indicated the need to accelerate sales to meet the guaranteed ROAS goal, the average Cash Back rate would automatically increase. This adjustment exposed a larger segment of Rakuten members to elevated Cash Back offers, driving conversions and ensuring the campaign stayed on track to meet its target.
  • When the campaign was pacing above the guaranteed ROAS and budget, the Programmatic Loyalty tool would proactively lower the average Cash Back rate. This adjustment optimized efficiency by serving a broader audience at a lower but still effective rate, while upholding the ROAS commitment.

Throughout the campaigns, the brand was prominently featured in Programmatic Loyalty placements across Rakuten’s app, website, and emails to drive visibility and engagement with audiences.

Key Learnings

  1. Through dynamic optimization of Cash Back and media, Programmatic Loyalty helped the brand achieve its ROAS goal while driving a positive year-over-year increase in sales in H2 2024.
  2. The use of different Cash Back rates (ranging from 5% to 26%) proved effective in identifying the optimal rate for driving conversion efficiently.
  3. Overall, Programmatic Loyalty outperformed the brand’s results from the previous year, delivering greater efficiency and performance on Rakuten’s platform, driving a 107% lift in shoppers in H2 2024.

Results

By leveraging Rakuten’s Programmatic Loyalty solution, the Home & Garden brand experienced a return to positive year-over-year growth across key metrics in H2 2024, including an increase in sales (reversing a previous YoY decline), an 81% increase in trips, and a 5% increase in average order value. As guaranteed, the brand also consistently met its monthly ROAS goal while efficiently managing spend.

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